Happy Valley · 2020-03-18
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GARLIC YEAH Closed strongly V 2.16.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 6.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 2 | 8.7 | N |
| 3 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly P/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 4 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY Closed strongly B-/H/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC Closed strongly B/XB/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | WICKER B N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 10 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ART OF RAW H/TT B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 6 | 9.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS Led early H/SR C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 9 | 49.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SUNNY MAJOR B2 V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 3 | 110.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-18 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. GARLIC YEAH, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by N, with YOUNG GLORY second and VICTORIOUS SEEKER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite SKY GEM finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 21.7% | 4.61 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM | 11.7% | 8.56 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ART OF RAW | 11.4% | 8.79 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 9.7% | 10.33 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | WICKER | 8.4% | 11.85 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 8.0% | 12.55 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS | 7.9% | 12.61 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | GARLIC YEAH | 7.9% | 12.62 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 4.3% | 23.28 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 4.2% | 23.96 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY | 3.8% | 26.37 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SUNNY MAJOR | 1.1% | 94.22 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 68
PLACE
2 22
3 22
10 27.5
QUINELLA
2,10 384.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 68.5
2,10 121.5
3,10 94.5
TIERCE
2,10,3 3,190
TRIO
2,3,10 556
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 984
QUARTET
2,10,3,5 21,554
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A3 —
A2 —