跑馬地 · 2020-03-18
第 1場
2020-03-18跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程2200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的GARLIC YEAH勝出，贏出N。YOUNG GLORY獲得亞軍；VICTORIOUS SEEKER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門SKY GEM跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GARLIC YEAH 後段發力 V 2.16.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 6.8 | N |
| 2 | 10 | YOUNG GLORY 後段發力 B G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 2 | 8.7 | N |
| 3 | 3 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER 後段發力 B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MCMUNIGAL B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SKY GEM 後段發力 P/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | FORTUNE PATROL 後段發力 B/XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 4 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY 後段發力 B-/H/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC 後段發力 B/XB/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | WICKER B N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 10 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | ART OF RAW H/TT B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 6 | 9.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | ASSOCIATION FANS 早段領放 H/SR C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 9 | 49.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SUNNY MAJOR B2 V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 3 | 110.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 21.7% | 4.61 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | SKY GEM | 11.7% | 8.56 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | ART OF RAW | 11.4% | 8.79 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | MCMUNIGAL | 9.7% | 10.33 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | WICKER | 8.4% | 11.85 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | FORTUNE PATROL | 8.0% | 12.55 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | ASSOCIATION FANS | 7.9% | 12.61 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | GARLIC YEAH | 7.9% | 12.62 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 4.3% | 23.28 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | YOUNG GLORY | 4.2% | 23.96 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | ROMANTIC JOURNEY | 3.8% | 26.37 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | SUNNY MAJOR | 1.1% | 94.22 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 68
PLACE
2 22
3 22
10 27.5
QUINELLA
2,10 384.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 68.5
2,10 121.5
3,10 94.5
TIERCE
2,10,3 3,190
TRIO
2,3,10 556
FIRST 4
2,3,5,10 984
QUARTET
2,10,3,5 21,554
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 24
A2 —