跑馬地 · 2020-03-18
第 7場
2020-03-18跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由N Callan策騎、C Fownes訓練的JUMBO HAPPINESS勝出，贏出1-1/4。ISLAND SHINE獲得亞軍；FLYING BONUS獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門VICTORY IN HAND跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JUMBO HAPPINESS V-/B2 1.09.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 6 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | ISLAND SHINE B1 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 2 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | FLYING BONUS T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | VICTORY IN HAND TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 1.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | AQUILA Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 12 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | SEVENTH SEA SR B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 11 | 80.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | MR PICASSO B C Wong · D J Hall | C Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 8.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | MAGIC SUPREME XB/TT M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 8 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY FAMILY H/B1/TT- G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 1 | 27.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | DRAGON HAS LANDED CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 126.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | JUMBO ENGINE B/XB K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 10 | 139.0 | 10 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VICTORY IN HAND | 37.7% | 2.65 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | AQUILA | 11.8% | 8.45 | 5 |
| 3 | 10 | MAGIC SUPREME | 8.0% | 12.56 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | FLYING BONUS | 7.2% | 13.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | ISLAND SHINE | 6.5% | 15.38 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | MR PICASSO | 6.3% | 15.96 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | JUMBO HAPPINESS | 5.8% | 17.34 | 1 |
| 8 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 5.5% | 18.31 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | HAPPY FAMILY | 3.5% | 28.46 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | JUMBO ENGINE | 2.8% | 35.41 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | DRAGON HAS LANDED | 2.8% | 35.99 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | SEVENTH SEA | 2.2% | 46.03 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 163
PLACE
5 31
6 27.5
12 28
QUINELLA
5,6 724.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 166.5
5,12 204
6,12 157
TIERCE
5,6,12 16,799
TRIO
5,6,12 2,580
FIRST 4
5,6,11,12 488
QUARTET
5,6,12,11 25,865
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 54
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
9/5 1,664
9/6 221.5