跑馬地 · 2020-03-18
第 3場
2020-03-18跑馬地第3場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的VERY SWEET ORANGE勝出，贏出1/2。AMAZING KIWI獲得亞軍；EXPLOSIVE WITNESS獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門LITTLE BIRD跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V 0.56.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 1 | 6.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | AMAZING KIWI B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS TT- B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 30.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 60.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | LITTLE BIRD V2/TT2 Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | MIG ENERGY TT1 C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SPECIAL STARS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | MOMENTUM GALAXY H/P K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | G UNIT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 10 | 5.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | FRUSTRATED B C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 7 | 5.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER JUNIOR V/TT H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 8 | 185.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | KING'S EMINENCE M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | G UNIT | 16.6% | 6.04 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | LITTLE BIRD | 13.4% | 7.49 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | SPECIAL STARS | 13.1% | 7.64 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 12.2% | 8.17 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 8.5% | 11.72 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | MIG ENERGY | 8.2% | 12.26 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 7.9% | 12.64 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | FRUSTRATED | 7.4% | 13.59 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | AMAZING KIWI | 4.8% | 20.96 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | BALTIC WHISPER | 3.9% | 25.65 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 2.7% | 37.25 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER JUNIOR | 1.4% | 69.15 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 67.5
PLACE
3 81
9 22
11 21.5
QUINELLA
9,11 275
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 516.5
3,11 313.5
9,11 90
TIERCE
11,9,3 14,416
TRIO
3,9,11 2,783
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 26,301
QUARTET
11,9,3,2 436,440
2ND DOUBLE
12/9 53
12/11 218.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 23.5
A3 —
A1 —