跑馬地 · 2020-03-18
第 5場
2020-03-18跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的HAPPY GOOD GUYS勝出，贏出1-1/4。ARES獲得亞軍；GUNNAR獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門ARES跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B-/V1 1.10.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ARES Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 4.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | GUNNAR TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | AMAZING TT G van Niekerk · T P Yung | G van Niekerk | T P Yung | 12 | 35.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | REGENCY POET XB/B1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | THE SHOW B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 7 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD TT T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 209.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | VICTORY MASTERY PC J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 4.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | YICHUN BLITZ B/XB2 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FANTASTIC FABIO C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 32.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | COLORADO HIGH B C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 4 | 15.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | SMART WONGCHOY XB/B1/H1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ARES | 24.6% | 4.06 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 21.2% | 4.71 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | VICTORY MASTERY | 15.2% | 6.58 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | YICHUN BLITZ | 8.4% | 11.92 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | GUNNAR | 7.5% | 13.38 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | COLORADO HIGH | 5.5% | 18.14 | 11 |
| 7 | 11 | THE SHOW | 4.5% | 22.15 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | AMAZING | 3.5% | 28.46 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | SMART WONGCHOY | 3.4% | 29.01 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 3.1% | 31.98 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | REGENCY POET | 2.1% | 47.96 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 0.9% | 114.40 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 82.5
PLACE
1 15.5
3 18
6 23
QUINELLA
1,6 162
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 39.5
1,6 55
3,6 72.5
TIERCE
6,1,3 1,659
TRIO
1,3,6 221
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 1,041
QUARTET
6,1,3,4 23,300
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 25.5
1/6 342