Happy Valley · 2020-03-25
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 2 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SNOW AIRJET Closed strongly TT H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 1 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE Led early B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 88.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO Closed strongly B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | METHANE B1 C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 9 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER N Callan · T P Yung | N Callan | T P Yung | 5 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 4.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DOR DOR Closed strongly H J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS MATE Closed strongly C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 7 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEED FORCE B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 236.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | GREEN DISPATCH TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL H/P/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 12.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-25 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BLOOMING SPIRIT, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with SNOW AIRJET second and WHO'S HORSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite UNIVERSAL GO GO finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 22.1% | 4.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | METHANE | 12.4% | 8.06 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ROMAN IMPERO | 10.7% | 9.36 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | DOR DOR | 10.4% | 9.62 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER | 8.5% | 11.75 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | GREEN DISPATCH | 8.5% | 11.83 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 8.3% | 12.01 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS MATE | 7.4% | 13.52 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL | 7.3% | 13.73 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | SNOW AIRJET | 2.3% | 43.10 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | WHO'S HORSE | 1.2% | 83.02 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 0.9% | 106.75 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 63
PLACE
10 50
11 22.5
12 197
QUINELLA
10,11 513
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 161.5
10,12 1,632.5
11,12 591
TIERCE
11,10,12 37,396
TRIO
10,11,12 8,445
FIRST 4
2,10,11,12 12,437
QUARTET
11,10,12,2 461,133
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,12/10,11,12 541,264
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 21
3RD DOUBLE
1/10 440.5
1/11 567