Happy Valley · 2020-03-25
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 6 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI Closed strongly B1 C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 2 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE Closed strongly B/H/XB/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 3 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SONIC FIGHTER Closed strongly B H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 5 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 9 | 2.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER BULLET Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 397.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT CP-/B2/TT K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 1 | 38.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES XB C Wong · D J Whyte | C Wong | D J Whyte | 12 | 63.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUNNY LAD B1/TT1 B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 11 | 97.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CHAMP PATROL Led early M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 7 | 289.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-25 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. JOLLY HONOUR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 3/4, with NABOO STAR second and XIANG BAI QI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite CINQUANTE CINQ finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 27.4% | 3.65 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 17.9% | 5.59 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 17.1% | 5.86 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SONIC FIGHTER | 9.8% | 10.25 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | DYNAMIC EAGLE | 8.0% | 12.44 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | XIANG BAI QI | 7.4% | 13.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 6.0% | 16.75 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | SUNNY LAD | 1.9% | 51.39 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND | 1.7% | 58.98 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 1.2% | 83.73 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER BULLET | 0.8% | 121.43 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | CHAMP PATROL | 0.8% | 124.84 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 45
PLACE
5 21
6 15.5
7 15.5
QUINELLA
6,7 116
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 56
5,7 63
6,7 38
TIERCE
6,7,5 1,124
TRIO
5,6,7 221
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 725
QUARTET
6,7,5,9 10,429
3 PICK 1
A2 23
A3 —
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
7/6 159.5
7/7 21.5