Happy Valley · 2020-03-25
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER LUCKY B/H/XB 1.10.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 6 | 4.6 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | MEHBOOB XB Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 2.1 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | FLYING GODSPELL SR M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 22.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | ADONIS CP M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER ALLIANCES C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 2 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 9.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT HARMONY B/TT H N Wong · A S Cruz | H N Wong | A S Cruz | 11 | 313.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ALL WONGCHOY V1/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 12 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW B/H/TT G van Niekerk · R Gibson | G van Niekerk | R Gibson | 8 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ELITE TREASURE B1 C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 7 | 262.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 4 | 503.0 | 36-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SHANGHAI MASTER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER LUCKY, ridden by N Callan and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with MEHBOOB second and FLYING GODSPELL third. The 2.1 favourite MEHBOOB finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEHBOOB | 38.0% | 2.63 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 16.8% | 5.95 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER LUCKY | 10.4% | 9.58 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FLYING GODSPELL | 6.7% | 14.88 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW | 6.3% | 15.78 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | KING'S TROOPER | 6.0% | 16.73 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | ADONIS | 5.6% | 17.87 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | ALL WONGCHOY | 4.9% | 20.36 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | ELITE TREASURE | 3.4% | 29.47 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | PERFECT HARMONY | 1.3% | 75.78 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 0.5% | 185.84 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 46.5
PLACE
2 11
6 15
11 43.5
QUINELLA
2,6 56.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 21.5
2,11 67
6,11 104.5
TIERCE
6,2,11 931
TRIO
2,6,11 163
FIRST 4
2,6,11,12 341
QUARTET
6,2,11,12 5,727
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 14.5
All pools (1 more)
4TH DOUBLE
11/2,3 26.5
11/6 298