Happy Valley · 2020-09-09
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-09-09 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. MOMENTUM GALAXY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with NEXTMODEL second and WILD WEST WING third. The 2.4 favourite NEXTMODEL finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B 0.57.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | NEXTMODEL H/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | WILD WEST WING J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | G UNIT C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | WINNING WAYS H/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 41.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | SEVENTH SEA SR A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 7 | 49.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | FORZA ANGEL B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | FOR FUN'S SAKE CP-/XB-/H1 C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 53.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE H/V1/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | EVERBRAVE B1 A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 3 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | WONDER BRAHMA H H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 10 | 127.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | PLANET FLYER B1 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 156.0 | 16 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NEXTMODEL | 24.4% | 4.10 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | WILD WEST WING | 22.2% | 4.51 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | EVERBRAVE | 10.3% | 9.75 | 10 |
| 4 | 9 | PRECIOUS SWEETIE | 9.5% | 10.57 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | G UNIT | 9.1% | 10.95 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | FORZA ANGEL | 7.8% | 12.77 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 6.7% | 14.89 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | SEVENTH SEA | 3.4% | 29.72 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | WINNING WAYS | 2.1% | 46.67 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | WONDER BRAHMA | 2.0% | 49.76 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 1.7% | 57.23 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | PLANET FLYER | 0.8% | 125.89 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 294.5
PLACE
1 12.5
4 59.5
7 16.5
QUINELLA
1,4 322.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 108.5
1,7 30
4,7 147
FORECAST
4,1 985
TIERCE
4,1,7 4,790
TRIO
1,4,7 418
FIRST 4
1,2,4,7 443
QUARTET
4,1,7,2 18,959
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
12/1 45.5
12/4 2,181
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 49