Sha Tin · 2020-09-20
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHARITYDREAM Wire to wire V-/TT 1.39.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 5 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 8.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ART OF RAW Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 2 | 4.6 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 4 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | KEEP WINNING TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE BUDDY B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 68.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PROUD SKY Closed strongly CP-/B2 C Schofield · L Ho | C Schofield | L Ho | 10 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAY RUN XB K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 1 | 7.4 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WILLFUL H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 53.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY B K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 7 | 15.0 | 11-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-20 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. CHARITYDREAM, ridden by H T Mo and trained by C W Chang, won by 2, with SKY GEM second and ART OF RAW third. The winner led throughout. The 4.6 favourite ART OF RAW finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SKY GEM | 21.7% | 4.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HAY RUN | 12.8% | 7.79 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY | 12.5% | 8.03 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | ART OF RAW | 10.5% | 9.52 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | YOUNG GLORY | 10.1% | 9.88 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 9.7% | 10.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION | 9.5% | 10.50 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARITYDREAM | 5.9% | 16.82 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | PROUD SKY | 3.9% | 25.88 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE BUDDY | 2.2% | 44.83 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | WILLFUL | 1.2% | 85.41 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 48
PLACE
1 29.5
8 18
10 16.5
QUINELLA
1,10 251
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 82.5
1,10 86
8,10 48
FORECAST
10,1 627
TIERCE
10,1,8 2,323
TRIO
1,8,10 299
FIRST 4
1,5,8,10 814
QUARTET
10,1,8,5 16,373
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 22
A2 —
A1 —