Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-09-20

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SCORES OF FUN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by N, with CLASSIC POSH second and SO AWESOME third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 SCORES OF FUN TT1 1.09.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 1 2.6 N
2 1 CLASSIC POSH C L Chau · D J Hall 3 7.9 N
3 9 SO AWESOME K Teetan · Y S Tsui 9 19.0 1/2
4 12 SMART CHARADE B/H/TT V Borges · W Y So 14 12.0 3/4
5 4 ABOVE ALL XB1 A Hamelin · A T Millard 7 26.0 1-1/4
6 13 STOCK LEGEND B-/V1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 6.5 1-1/4
7 14 GOLDEN MISSION TT A Badel · C W Chang 13 12.0 1-3/4
8 6 HAPPILY FRIENDS C Schofield · K H Ting 4 55.0 2-1/4
9 5 ROBOT WARRIOR V1 K C Leung · T P Yung 8 65.0 2-1/2
10 3 MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 6 34.0 2-3/4
11 7 INNO LEGEND Z Purton · K L Man 10 4.8 3-3/4
12 11 FLYING SPIRIT P-/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte 11 58.0 5-1/4
13 10 FORTUNE TRIPLE H T Mo · Y S Tsui 2 201.0 6-1/4
14 8 DRAGON IN FIELD M F Poon · P F Yiu 12 100.0 18-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SCORES OF FUN2. CLASSIC POSH+0.05L3. SO AWESOME+0.5L4. SMART CHARADE+0.75L5. ABOVE ALL+1.25L6. STOCK LEGEND+1.25L7. GOLDEN MISSION+1.75L8. HAPPILY FRIENDS+2.25L9. ROBOT WARRIOR+2.5L10. MORE THAN ENOUGH+2.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick SCORES OF FUN (40.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 SCORES OF FUN 40.0% 2.50 1
2 7 INNO LEGEND 9.2% 10.93 11
3 1 CLASSIC POSH 8.4% 11.91 2
4 9 SO AWESOME 8.3% 12.03 3
5 13 STOCK LEGEND 5.9% 16.90 6
6 3 MORE THAN ENOUGH 5.6% 17.91 10
7 12 SMART CHARADE 5.3% 18.89 4
8 14 GOLDEN MISSION 4.8% 20.84 7
9 4 ABOVE ALL 4.6% 21.68 5
10 5 ROBOT WARRIOR 2.5% 40.17 9
11 6 HAPPILY FRIENDS 2.2% 45.92 8
12 8 DRAGON IN FIELD 1.4% 70.26 14
13 11 FLYING SPIRIT 1.0% 105.09 12
14 10 FORTUNE TRIPLE 0.9% 117.37 13
SCORES OF FUN — wonINNO LEGENDCLASSIC POSHSO AWESOMESTOCK LEGENDMORE THAN ENOUGHSMART CHARADEGOLDEN MISSIONABOVE ALLROBOT WARRIORHAPPILY FRIENDSDRAGON IN FIELDFLYING SPIRITFORTUNE TRIPLE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 26

PLACE

1 19.5

2 14

9 46.5

QUINELLA

1,2 96.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 41

1,9 166

2,9 81.5

FORECAST

2,1 124

TIERCE

2,1,9 1,038

TRIO

1,2,9 368

FIRST 4

1,2,9,12 754

QUARTET

2,1,9,12 8,244

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 17

A2

A3

5TH DOUBLE

8/1 179.5

8/2 349

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,5,6/2,8,13/Any Combination 396,881