沙田 · 2020-09-20
第 6場
2020-09-20沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的SCORES OF FUN勝出，贏出N。CLASSIC POSH獲得亞軍；SO AWESOME獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SCORES OF FUN TT1 1.09.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 2.6 | N |
| 2 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 3 | 7.9 | N |
| 3 | 9 | SO AWESOME K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | SMART CHARADE B/H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 14 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | ABOVE ALL XB1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 26.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | STOCK LEGEND B-/V1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | GOLDEN MISSION TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 13 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPILY FRIENDS C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 55.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR V1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 65.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 34.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | INNO LEGEND Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 10 | 4.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | FLYING SPIRIT P-/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 11 | 58.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | FORTUNE TRIPLE H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 201.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | DRAGON IN FIELD M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 100.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SCORES OF FUN | 40.0% | 2.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | INNO LEGEND | 9.2% | 10.93 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | CLASSIC POSH | 8.4% | 11.91 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SO AWESOME | 8.3% | 12.03 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | STOCK LEGEND | 5.9% | 16.90 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 5.6% | 17.91 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | SMART CHARADE | 5.3% | 18.89 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | GOLDEN MISSION | 4.8% | 20.84 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | ABOVE ALL | 4.6% | 21.68 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 2.5% | 40.17 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 2.2% | 45.92 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | DRAGON IN FIELD | 1.4% | 70.26 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | FLYING SPIRIT | 1.0% | 105.09 | 12 |
| 14 | 10 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 0.9% | 117.37 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 26
PLACE
1 19.5
2 14
9 46.5
QUINELLA
1,2 96.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 41
1,9 166
2,9 81.5
FORECAST
2,1 124
TIERCE
2,1,9 1,038
TRIO
1,2,9 368
FIRST 4
1,2,9,12 754
QUARTET
2,1,9,12 8,244
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
8/1 179.5
8/2 349
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,6/2,8,13/Any Combination 396,881