沙田 · 2020-09-20
第 3場
2020-09-20沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、P F Yiu訓練的FABULOUS EIGHT勝出，贏出1/2。UNITED WE STAND獲得亞軍；GOKO獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門UNITED WE STAND跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT 0.55.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 8 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | GOKO B/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | VALIANT ELEGANCE XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CARRY THE DIAMOND B/H/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | REGENCY POET B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 4.5 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | BRAVE POWER CP1/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 7 | 75.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | ALL THE WAY B/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 5 | 310.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | WINNER'S HEART N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 4 | 22.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SHANGHAI POWER H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 299.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | TINKER BELLE B2 H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 6 | 149.0 | 14 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 34.1% | 2.93 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | UNITED WE STAND | 17.5% | 5.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 9.5% | 10.51 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | REGENCY POET | 9.2% | 10.83 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 8.5% | 11.83 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | WINNER'S HEART | 8.0% | 12.45 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | BRAVE POWER | 5.6% | 17.81 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | GOKO | 5.4% | 18.45 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | TINKER BELLE | 1.2% | 86.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | ALL THE WAY | 0.5% | 187.72 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | SHANGHAI POWER | 0.4% | 226.12 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 42.5
PLACE
1 14
2 11.5
7 28.5
QUINELLA
1,2 51.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 22
1,7 75.5
2,7 40.5
FORECAST
1,2 104
TIERCE
1,2,7 786
TRIO
1,2,7 186
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 197
QUARTET
1,2,7,5 3,441
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
3/1 122
3/2 13.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 15.5