沙田 · 2020-09-20
第 9場
2020-09-20沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的WINNING DREAMER勝出，贏出1/2。SUNSET WATCH獲得亞軍；PING HAI BRAVO獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WINNING DREAMER 1.08.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 12 | 1.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | SUNSET WATCH K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 1 | 8.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | PING HAI BRAVO E1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | E STAR H B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 6 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | TEMPLE OF HEAVEN XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | TELECOM PUMA SR/TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 2 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 11 | 48.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUNNY LAD B/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 3 | 108.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | CHANCHENG PRINCE H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 70.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER B/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 212.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | BABY B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 124.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WINNING DREAMER | 31.7% | 3.16 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | PING HAI BRAVO | 22.9% | 4.36 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | CHICKEN DANCE | 13.9% | 7.18 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | SUNSET WATCH | 8.0% | 12.49 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 5.1% | 19.70 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | TEMPLE OF HEAVEN | 5.0% | 19.90 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | E STAR | 3.6% | 27.48 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | TELECOM PUMA | 3.3% | 30.08 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 3.0% | 33.60 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SUNNY LAD | 1.5% | 68.19 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | BABY | 1.3% | 78.99 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER | 0.7% | 148.44 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 18.5
PLACE
2 21
4 13
9 17
QUINELLA
2,4 78
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 33.5
2,9 73
4,9 28
FORECAST
4,2 146
TIERCE
4,2,9 482
TRIO
2,4,9 136
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 143
QUARTET
4,2,9,7 1,915
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
5/2 77.5
5/4 61.5