Sha Tin · 2020-09-20
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ARMOR STAR Closed strongly B-/V1 1.21.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 3.9 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY Closed strongly V Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 5.8 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 1 | 9.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE Closed strongly B B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 7 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CASIMIRO Closed strongly N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER FAST Closed strongly XB/BR1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 55.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 12 | 42.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 8 | 7.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY CHARM B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 3 | 203.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE B/E C Wong · J Size | C Wong | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VIVA CHEF Led early K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 105.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT2 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 11 | 55.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | NUREMBERG B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 10 | 260.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | WIN FOR YOUTH H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 14 | 413.0 | 18 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-20 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ARMOR STAR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with ULTIMATE GLORY second and HANG'S DECISION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite SUMSTREETSUMWHERE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ARMOR STAR | 26.7% | 3.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS | 16.7% | 6.00 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 16.6% | 6.01 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 11.2% | 8.95 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 6.7% | 15.00 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 4.9% | 20.44 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | HANG'S DECISION | 4.1% | 24.58 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER FAST | 4.0% | 24.86 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER | 3.1% | 32.41 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | SAM'S LOVE | 2.5% | 40.55 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | NUREMBERG | 1.5% | 66.11 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | VIVA CHEF | 0.9% | 114.79 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 0.7% | 137.97 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | WIN FOR YOUTH | 0.5% | 207.35 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 39.5
PLACE
2 20
4 14.5
5 31.5
QUINELLA
2,4 130
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 47.5
2,5 93.5
4,5 74
FORECAST
4,2 303
TIERCE
4,2,5 1,800
TRIO
2,4,5 422
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 212
QUARTET
4,2,5,3 5,159
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/2,4,5 13,611
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
2/2 33
2/4 101.5