Sha Tin · 2020-09-20
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. SKYEY SUPREME, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by 3-1/2, with PARTY EVERYDAY second and UNITE SPIRIT third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SKYEY SUPREME Wire to wire B/TT 1.38.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 1 | 2.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 3.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly XB C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 2 | 9.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly V2 C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 6 | 7.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | DOUBLE TAKE B N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 4 | 6.3 | 7-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly CP-/H1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 21.0 | 20-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | JOYFUL CHEERS H/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 7 | 212.0 | 27 |
| 8 | 4 | BIG BANG BONG TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 5 | 21.0 | 34-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | LUCKY WIN WIN B/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 3 | 24.0 | 39-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SKYEY SUPREME | 41.7% | 2.40 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 21.0% | 4.76 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | DOUBLE TAKE | 9.6% | 10.43 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | LUCKY WIN WIN | 9.1% | 11.00 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | BIG BANG BONG | 6.1% | 16.32 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | CROWN AVENUE | 5.0% | 19.86 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | UNITE SPIRIT | 4.7% | 21.26 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 1.9% | 52.63 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | JOYFUL CHEERS | 0.9% | 113.88 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 27.5
PLACE
1 13.5
2 31.5
3 12
QUINELLA
1,3 48.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 72.5
1,3 20.5
2,3 53.5
FORECAST
3,1 91
TIERCE
3,1,2 618
TRIO
1,2,3 159
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 162
QUARTET
3,1,2,5 2,772
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/1 30
10/3 202.5
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A3 —
A2 —