Sha Tin · 2020-09-20
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly 1.33.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 58.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly B-/XB/CP1 C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 7 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | THE HULK Led early J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 4.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 6 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | MR ALDAN B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MONICA Closed strongly B2 C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 4 | 49.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENA BABY XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.7 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-20 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TIANCHI MONSTER, ridden by V Borges and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/2, with CHARITY GO second and GIFT OF LIFELINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite MR ALDAN finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE HULK | 23.9% | 4.18 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 18.2% | 5.50 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 18.0% | 5.55 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 11.3% | 8.88 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITY GO | 8.6% | 11.63 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HELENA BABY | 7.4% | 13.57 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 6.1% | 16.34 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | DECISIVE ACTION | 3.1% | 32.55 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 2.3% | 43.55 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | MONICA | 1.2% | 84.81 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 587.5
PLACE
4 30
5 102
6 19.5
QUINELLA
4,5 2,372
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 550.5
4,6 107
5,6 383.5
FORECAST
5,4 5,389
TIERCE
5,4,6 24,485
TRIO
4,5,6 3,010
FIRST 4
4,5,6,8 5,254
QUARTET
5,4,6,8 191,792
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/4,5,6 56,578
3 PICK 1
A3 35.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/4 135
1/5 2,366