Sha Tin · 2020-09-20
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE ROCK Closed strongly H 1.21.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 2.8 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 15.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | WIN WIN Closed strongly B V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 1 | 9.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly H- K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SIMPLE ELEGANT Led early V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 31.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | PRINCE OF FROG Closed strongly H/P/XB M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 86.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | TAKING AIM CP- A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 62.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIVATE COUNCIL CP-/B1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 2 | 49.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-20 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE ROCK, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with GREAT TREASURE second and WIN WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite CHEVALIER PRINCE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 36.0% | 2.78 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | THE ROCK | 17.9% | 5.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 11.1% | 9.01 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 10.5% | 9.51 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | TAKING AIM | 7.0% | 14.25 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | WIN WIN | 7.0% | 14.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | ABOVE | 3.0% | 32.80 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | SIMPLE ELEGANT | 2.9% | 34.47 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.5% | 39.31 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | PRINCE OF FROG | 1.1% | 90.71 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIVATE COUNCIL | 0.9% | 113.40 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 28
PLACE
5 13
7 24.5
10 30
QUINELLA
5,10 182.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 42.5
5,10 55
7,10 133.5
FORECAST
5,10 262
TIERCE
5,10,7 921
TRIO
5,7,10 298
FIRST 4
5,7,10,11 119
QUARTET
5,10,7,11 2,917
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 13.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/5 107.5
4/10 98