Sha Tin · 2020-11-01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BLASTOISE Closed strongly SR 2.01.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 6 | 9.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 8 | 4.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LONDON HALL Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 8.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STIMULATION Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.2 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON H/XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER Led early CP/XB C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.8 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | ABOVE B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 5 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND B/TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-01 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. BLASTOISE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D E Ferraris, won by N, with VINCY second and LONDON HALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite GOD OF DRAGON finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 34.7% | 2.88 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 16.7% | 5.99 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | VINCY | 13.7% | 7.32 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | LONDON HALL | 11.2% | 8.92 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 11.0% | 9.10 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | STIMULATION | 7.2% | 13.84 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | CLEMENT LEGEND | 3.1% | 32.63 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | ABOVE | 2.4% | 41.20 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 97
PLACE
1 22
3 15.5
4 24
QUINELLA
3,4 251
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 58
1,4 84.5
3,4 71
FORECAST
4,3 429
TIERCE
4,3,1 2,116
TRIO
1,3,4 413
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 596
QUARTET
4,3,1,7 12,547
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A3 —
A1 —