Sha Tin · 2020-11-01
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RHAPSODY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by SH, with MY SUGAR second and JADE PHOENIX third. The 2.6 favourite MY SUGAR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | RHAPSODY 1.09.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 6.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | MY SUGAR Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 9 | 2.6 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | JADE PHOENIX J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT H N Callan · D A Hayes | N Callan | D A Hayes | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | ONE HAPPY STAR M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 13 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SURE WIN WIN C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 10 | 145.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | ULTRA EXPRESS TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 5 | 108.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 67.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | CHARITY GRACE H1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 12 | 54.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LUCKY RUBY H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 1 | 208.0 | 4 |
| — | 6 | STAY CHILL T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JADE PHOENIX | 35.7% | 2.80 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | MY SUGAR | 18.7% | 5.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | RHAPSODY | 10.2% | 9.84 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK | 8.5% | 11.71 | 7 |
| 5 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 6.7% | 14.99 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 5.5% | 18.08 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | CHARITY GRACE | 4.6% | 21.58 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | MASTER ALBERT | 4.1% | 24.55 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 3.3% | 30.00 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | SURE WIN WIN | 1.2% | 86.43 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 0.9% | 113.81 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | LUCKY RUBY | 0.6% | 171.90 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 60.5
PLACE
4 16
5 12
11 18.5
QUINELLA
5,11 104
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 25.5
4,11 53.5
5,11 39
FORECAST
11,5 211
TIERCE
11,5,4 986
TRIO
4,5,11 140
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 321
QUARTET
11,5,4,3 8,446
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/5,6 38
8/11 1,323.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 35
A2 —