Sha Tin · 2020-11-01
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | E STAR Closed strongly H 1.21.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY Closed strongly E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT Led early CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PURE LEGEND Closed strongly V1 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ANGEL OF MY EYES Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 3 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | MARVEL DRAGON B-/TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 1 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TRUST ME H K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 14 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 8.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 52.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT H1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 284.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | CHATER PINS B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 171.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. E STAR, ridden by N Callan and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with HEZA BEAUTY second and KA YING EXCELLENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite ANGEL OF MY EYES finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ANGEL OF MY EYES | 22.8% | 4.39 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 16.4% | 6.10 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY | 14.8% | 6.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 14.3% | 6.98 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 6.5% | 15.32 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | E STAR | 4.8% | 20.63 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 4.1% | 24.18 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | TRUST ME | 3.8% | 26.17 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 3.8% | 26.28 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | MARVEL DRAGON | 3.6% | 27.72 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 3.5% | 28.18 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | PURE LEGEND | 0.8% | 130.85 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 0.3% | 290.54 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT | 0.3% | 299.12 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 155.5
PLACE
3 18
4 37.5
13 25.5
QUINELLA
3,4 360.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 132.5
3,13 67.5
4,13 183
FORECAST
4,3 807
TIERCE
4,3,13 8,230
TRIO
3,4,13 896
FIRST 4
3,4,12,13 1,471
QUARTET
4,3,13,12 39,699
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/3,4,13 3,403,046
9TH DOUBLE
7/3 191.5
7/4 3,118.5
SIX UP
1,8/1,11/4,10/1,3,4/4,7/3,4 83,932
8/11/4/3/7/4 3,002,940
5 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
3/7/3 1,551
3/7/4 25,197