沙田 · 2020-11-01
第 10場
2020-11-01沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由N Callan策騎、K L Man訓練的E STAR勝出，贏出1-1/4。HEZA BEAUTY獲得亞軍；KA YING EXCELLENT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門ANGEL OF MY EYES跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | E STAR 後段發力 H 1.21.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | HEZA BEAUTY 後段發力 E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | KA YING EXCELLENT 早段領放 CP/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 7.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | TRUE LEGEND CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | PURE LEGEND 後段發力 V1 M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ANGEL OF MY EYES 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 13 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | GIFT OF LIFELINE 後段發力 B T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 3 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | MARVEL DRAGON B-/TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 1 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | TRUST ME H K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 14 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CHANCHENG PRINCE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 8.4 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 52.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | BLAZING BEAT H1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 284.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | CHATER PINS B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 171.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ANGEL OF MY EYES | 22.8% | 4.39 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | TRUE LEGEND | 16.4% | 6.10 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | HEZA BEAUTY | 14.8% | 6.78 | 2 |
| 4 | 13 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 14.3% | 6.98 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 6.5% | 15.32 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | E STAR | 4.8% | 20.63 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 4.1% | 24.18 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | TRUST ME | 3.8% | 26.17 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 3.8% | 26.28 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | MARVEL DRAGON | 3.6% | 27.72 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 3.5% | 28.18 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | PURE LEGEND | 0.8% | 130.85 | 5 |
| 13 | 5 | CHATER PINS | 0.3% | 290.54 | 14 |
| 14 | 6 | BLAZING BEAT | 0.3% | 299.12 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 155.5
PLACE
3 18
4 37.5
13 25.5
QUINELLA
3,4 360.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 132.5
3,13 67.5
4,13 183
FORECAST
4,3 807
TIERCE
4,3,13 8,230
TRIO
3,4,13 896
FIRST 4
3,4,12,13 1,471
QUARTET
4,3,13,12 39,699
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 24.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/3,4,13 3,403,046
9TH DOUBLE
7/3 191.5
7/4 3,118.5
SIX UP
1,8/1,11/4,10/1,3,4/4,7/3,4 83,932
8/11/4/3/7/4 3,002,940
5 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
3/7/3 1,551
3/7/4 25,197