沙田 · 2020-11-01
第 6場
2020-11-01沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K H Ting訓練的AUTHENTIC CHAMP勝出，贏出1-3/4。HALL OF CHAMP獲得亞軍；NATURAL WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門MARVELOUS FANS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP 後段發力 B/H 1.21.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 12 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP 後段發力 M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 10 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | NATURAL WINNER CP/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 87.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 11 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MARVELOUS FANS 後段發力 E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | SOLAR POWER 早段領放 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SUNNY LAD B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 13 | 122.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA B J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 1 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | BEST FOR YOU B T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | THE DRIVE B/TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 2 | 8.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | PERFECT TO PLAY TT H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 71.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | HAPPY JAI JAI M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 88.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | CORDYCEPS KING TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 40.0 | 24-1/2 |
| — | 0 | EASY DAZZLING M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BIG LUCK CHAMP A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | SAM'S LOVE Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA | 43.7% | 2.29 | 8 |
| 2 | 5 | MARVELOUS FANS | 14.5% | 6.88 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | CORDYCEPS KING | 11.8% | 8.47 | 13 |
| 4 | 10 | THE DRIVE | 5.3% | 19.02 | 10 |
| 5 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 4.8% | 20.78 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 4.0% | 24.70 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | SOLAR POWER | 3.7% | 26.94 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP | 3.6% | 28.13 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | BEST FOR YOU | 3.3% | 29.86 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 1.8% | 56.84 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | SUNNY LAD | 1.4% | 69.30 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | NATURAL WINNER | 1.4% | 72.71 | 3 |
| 13 | 4 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 0.6% | 162.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 56
PLACE
1 20
3 177
11 20.5
QUINELLA
1,11 202.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 651
1,11 75.5
3,11 735
FORECAST
11,1 438
TIERCE
11,1,3 16,636
TRIO
1,3,11 5,154
FIRST 4
1,3,11,13 11,675
QUARTET
11,1,3,13 257,848
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 30.5
5TH DOUBLE
8/1 56
8/11 588
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,11,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 2,260