Sha Tin · 2020-11-01
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AUTHENTIC CHAMP, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-3/4, with HALL OF CHAMP second and NATURAL WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite MARVELOUS FANS finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP Closed strongly B/H 1.21.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 12 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 10 | 6.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | NATURAL WINNER CP/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 87.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 11 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MARVELOUS FANS Closed strongly E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | SOLAR POWER Led early K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SUNNY LAD B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 13 | 122.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA B J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 1 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | BEST FOR YOU B T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | THE DRIVE B/TT C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 2 | 8.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | PERFECT TO PLAY TT H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 71.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | HAPPY JAI JAI M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 88.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | CORDYCEPS KING TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 40.0 | 24-1/2 |
| — | 0 | EASY DAZZLING M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BIG LUCK CHAMP A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | SAM'S LOVE Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA | 43.7% | 2.29 | 8 |
| 2 | 5 | MARVELOUS FANS | 14.5% | 6.88 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | CORDYCEPS KING | 11.8% | 8.47 | 13 |
| 4 | 10 | THE DRIVE | 5.3% | 19.02 | 10 |
| 5 | 13 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 4.8% | 20.78 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | AUTHENTIC CHAMP | 4.0% | 24.70 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | SOLAR POWER | 3.7% | 26.94 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | HALL OF CHAMP | 3.6% | 28.13 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | BEST FOR YOU | 3.3% | 29.86 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 1.8% | 56.84 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | SUNNY LAD | 1.4% | 69.30 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | NATURAL WINNER | 1.4% | 72.71 | 3 |
| 13 | 4 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 0.6% | 162.81 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 56
PLACE
1 20
3 177
11 20.5
QUINELLA
1,11 202.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 651
1,11 75.5
3,11 735
FORECAST
11,1 438
TIERCE
11,1,3 16,636
TRIO
1,3,11 5,154
FIRST 4
1,3,11,13 11,675
QUARTET
11,1,3,13 257,848
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 30.5
5TH DOUBLE
8/1 56
8/11 588
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,11,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 2,260