Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-11-01

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 AUTHENTIC CHAMP Closed strongly B/H 1.21.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K H Ting 12 5.6 1-3/4
2 0 HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly M Chadwick · D J Hall 10 6.7 1-3/4
3 0 NATURAL WINNER CP/TT A Badel · R Gibson 8 87.0 2-3/4
4 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B V Borges · P F Yiu 11 16.0 3-1/4
5 0 MARVELOUS FANS Closed strongly E K Teetan · J Size 5 3.5 3-1/2
6 0 SOLAR POWER Led early K C Leung · L Ho 7 11.0 3-1/2
7 0 SUNNY LAD B/H/TT N Callan · A S Cruz 13 122.0 3-1/2
8 0 COPARTNER ERA B J Moreira · W Y So 1 5.0 3-1/2
9 0 BEST FOR YOU B T Piccone · Y S Tsui 9 15.0 5-1/4
10 0 THE DRIVE B/TT C Schofield · T P Yung 2 8.6 6-1/4
11 0 PERFECT TO PLAY TT H N Wong · C Fownes 3 71.0 6-3/4
12 0 HAPPY JAI JAI M L Yeung · D A Hayes 4 88.0 7-1/2
13 0 CORDYCEPS KING TT1 Z Purton · C S Shum 6 40.0 24-1/2
— 0 EASY DAZZLING M F Poon · K W Lui — — —
— 0 BIG LUCK CHAMP A Badel · P O'Sullivan — — —
— 0 SAM'S LOVE Z Purton · C H Yip — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AUTHENTIC CHAMP, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-3/4, with HALL OF CHAMP second and NATURAL WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite MARVELOUS FANS finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AUTHENTIC CHAMP—2. HALL OF CHAMP+1.75L3. NATURAL WINNER+2.75L4. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+3.25L5. MARVELOUS FANS+3.5L6. SOLAR POWER+3.5L7. SUNNY LAD+3.5L8. COPARTNER ERA+3.5L9. BEST FOR YOU+5.25L10. THE DRIVE+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick COPARTNER ERA (43.7%) finished 8th — the winner AUTHENTIC CHAMP was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 COPARTNER ERA 43.7% 2.29 8
2 0 MARVELOUS FANS 14.5% 6.88 5
3 0 CORDYCEPS KING 11.8% 8.47 13
4 0 THE DRIVE 5.3% 19.02 10
5 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 4.8% 20.78 4
6 0 AUTHENTIC CHAMP 4.0% 24.70 1
7 0 SOLAR POWER 3.7% 26.94 6
8 0 HALL OF CHAMP 3.6% 28.13 2
9 0 BEST FOR YOU 3.3% 29.86 9
10 0 PERFECT TO PLAY 1.8% 56.84 11
11 0 SUNNY LAD 1.4% 69.30 7
12 0 NATURAL WINNER 1.4% 72.71 3
13 0 HAPPY JAI JAI 0.6% 162.81 12
COPARTNER ERAMARVELOUS FANSCORDYCEPS KINGTHE DRIVEWINWIN THIRTYTHREEAUTHENTIC CHAMP — wonSOLAR POWERHALL OF CHAMPBEST FOR YOUPERFECT TO PLAYSUNNY LADNATURAL WINNERHAPPY JAI JAI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 56

PLACE

1 20

3 177

11 20.5

QUINELLA

1,11 202.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 651

1,11 75.5

3,11 735

FORECAST

11,1 438

TIERCE

11,1,3 16,636

TRIO

1,3,11 5,154

FIRST 4

1,3,11,13 11,675

QUARTET

11,1,3,13 257,848

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 30.5

A1 —

5TH DOUBLE

8/1 56

8/11 588

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

7,11,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 2,260