Sha Tin · 2020-11-01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B 1.21.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 12 | 9.1 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | MERCURIAL Led early XB1/TT- C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 6 | 33.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | DIAMOND RHYME CP- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 54.0 | SH |
| 4 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET Closed strongly B-/CP2 J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 5 | 5.5 | HD |
| 5 | 0 | FAST PACE Closed strongly H/P N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 2 | 14.0 | N |
| 6 | 0 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 9 | 3.1 | N |
| 7 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CASIMIRO Closed strongly B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY CHARM Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 206.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GO GOAL TOBY C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 3 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE B- V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 13 | 97.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION B T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 1 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | SMART CHARADE B/H/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SPARKY STAR B M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 10 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-11-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SPEED FAY FAY, ridden by C Schofield and trained by T P Yung, won by NOSE, with MERCURIAL second and DIAMOND RHYME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite KASI FARASI finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 23.2% | 4.32 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 13.4% | 7.46 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 7.8% | 12.84 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART CHARADE | 7.2% | 13.81 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 7.1% | 14.13 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | MERCURIAL | 6.8% | 14.71 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 6.7% | 14.93 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | GO GOAL TOBY | 6.3% | 15.75 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | FAST PACE | 5.6% | 17.80 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | CASIMIRO | 4.5% | 22.20 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | DIAMOND RHYME | 3.9% | 25.46 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | SPARKY STAR | 3.6% | 28.04 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | DAILY CHARM | 2.5% | 39.55 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 1.3% | 75.33 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 91.5
PLACE
7 87
11 129
12 34.5
QUINELLA
7,12 1,708
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 1,913.5
7,12 488
11,12 596
FORECAST
12,7 2,806
TIERCE
12,7,11 100,682
TRIO
7,11,12 25,985
FIRST 4
4,7,11,12 34,031
QUARTET
12,7,11,4 789,090
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6,11/7,11,12 400,780
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 26.5
3RD DOUBLE
11/7 389.5
11/12 721.5