沙田 · 2020-11-01
第 7場
2020-11-01沙田第7場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、D J Whyte訓練的STRONGER勝出，贏出1-1/4。MULTIMILLION獲得亞軍；HONG KONG WIN獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門WINNING METHOD跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STRONGER CP/XB1/TT 0.55.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MULTIMILLION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | MASSIVE POCKET XB M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | LARSON CP/TT1 C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 6 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DUKE WAI B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | WINNING METHOD TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | UTOPIA LIFE B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 14 | 91.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY FUN B/TT- K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 5 | 60.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | GOLD CHEST CP-/B1/TT C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 10 | 4.3 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUNNY BOY B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 13 | 107.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | WINNER SUPREME H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | SMART FOLKS P-/XB1 V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 9 | 258.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GENTLE BREEZE B H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 154.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HONG KONG WIN | 21.9% | 4.56 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | WINNING METHOD | 14.5% | 6.92 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | DUKE WAI | 10.1% | 9.88 | 6 |
| 4 | 9 | LARSON | 9.5% | 10.53 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | GOLD CHEST | 9.1% | 10.97 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | WINNER SUPREME | 8.1% | 12.41 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | STRONGER | 6.4% | 15.55 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | MASSIVE POCKET | 5.5% | 18.20 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | MULTIMILLION | 5.3% | 18.81 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | SUNNY BOY | 3.8% | 26.08 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | HAPPY FUN | 2.6% | 38.91 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | UTOPIA LIFE | 1.2% | 81.65 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | GENTLE BREEZE | 1.2% | 82.14 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | SMART FOLKS | 0.8% | 133.08 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 54.5
PLACE
3 30.5
4 18.5
10 54
QUINELLA
4,10 416.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 99.5
3,10 229
4,10 175
FORECAST
4,10 1,182
TIERCE
4,10,3 7,148
TRIO
3,4,10 1,626
FIRST 4
3,4,8,10 4,368
QUARTET
4,10,3,8 85,169
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,11/3,4,10 884,941
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23.5
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
11/4 322.5
11/10 313