沙田 · 2020-11-01
第 2場
2020-11-01沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由B Shinn策騎、D J Hall訓練的PLIKCLONE勝出，贏出1-1/2。ONE STEP AHEAD獲得亞軍；BELLA BABY獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門TELECOM MISSILE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PLIKCLONE B 1.09.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | BELLA BABY XB/TT N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 3 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GREEN ENVY V1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | TELECOM MISSILE B-/V1 Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 14 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | APOLLOS BOW B C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 7 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | MOON PEAKS B-/H1/TT- H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GOLDEN MISSION TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 12 | 8.2 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | STRONG PROMISE XB/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 69.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | WINNING WARRIOR V M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 49.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ROCHFORD V-/B1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 87.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | EURO LAGO CP/E K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 13 | 40.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | ROCKET HAMMER B V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 8 | 155.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TIGERLAD K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GREEN ENVY | 24.3% | 4.12 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | TELECOM MISSILE | 16.9% | 5.92 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | BELLA BABY | 10.8% | 9.24 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 8.5% | 11.74 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER | 8.2% | 12.20 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | PLIKCLONE | 8.0% | 12.56 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | APOLLOS BOW | 6.5% | 15.31 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | GOLDEN MISSION | 5.9% | 16.96 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | ROCHFORD | 3.0% | 33.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | MOON PEAKS | 2.9% | 33.91 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | EURO LAGO | 2.2% | 44.63 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | WINNING WARRIOR | 1.0% | 97.00 | 11 |
| 13 | 1 | STRONG PROMISE | 1.0% | 100.93 | 10 |
| 14 | 2 | ROCKET HAMMER | 0.8% | 132.39 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 64.5
PLACE
5 24.5
8 23
11 36.5
QUINELLA
8,11 351
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 85.5
5,11 154.5
8,11 114
FORECAST
8,11 698
TIERCE
8,11,5 4,558
TRIO
5,8,11 908
FIRST 4
5,7,8,11 1,197
QUARTET
8,11,5,7 31,063
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/8 871
4/11 154
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 19.5
A1 —