沙田 · 2020-11-01
第 5場
2020-11-01沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的SOARING TOWER勝出，贏出1-1/2。PEGASUS GLORY獲得亞軍；REWARDING TOGETHER獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門GALACTIC跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SOARING TOWER 1.08.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | PEGASUS GLORY K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT1 C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 1 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GALACTIC A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 3 | 4.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | RUN RUN GOOD CP1 C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 6 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | MONKEY JEWELLERY B1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER V1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | AMAZING ROCKY H K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 2 | 4.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | RED MAJESTY B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 118.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | DRAGON IN FIELD N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 5 | 80.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WINNING GENGHIS H/SR H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 202.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | FORTUNE MASTER T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 8 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AMAZING ROCKY | 33.5% | 2.99 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | PEGASUS GLORY | 17.6% | 5.70 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | GALACTIC | 11.3% | 8.83 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | SOARING TOWER | 8.9% | 11.23 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 7.9% | 12.73 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 7.1% | 14.06 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | RUN RUN GOOD | 5.8% | 17.34 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | FORTUNE MASTER | 4.6% | 21.73 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 1.9% | 52.87 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | RED MAJESTY | 0.6% | 159.39 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | DRAGON IN FIELD | 0.5% | 197.82 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | WINNING GENGHIS | 0.4% | 244.21 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 50.5
PLACE
1 17.5
6 22.5
8 18.5
QUINELLA
1,8 124.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 55.5
1,8 54.5
6,8 64.5
FORECAST
8,1 388
TIERCE
8,1,6 1,442
TRIO
1,6,8 234
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 264
QUARTET
8,1,6,3 6,705
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 30
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/1 107
12/8 901.5