沙田 · 2020-11-01
第 8場
2020-11-01沙田第8場，Group 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、A S Cruz訓練的FURORE勝出，贏出1-1/4。EXULTANT獲得亞軍；DANCES WITH DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門EXULTANT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FURORE 後段發力 B/TT 1.45.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | EXULTANT 後段發力 XB/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | DANCES WITH DRAGON 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 9 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SOUTHERN LEGEND TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 10 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | HO HO KHAN 後段發力 C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 3 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | SAVVY NINE XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | PRECIOUSSHIP XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 1 | 82.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 13 | SUPER OASIS 後段發力 B/XB H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 91.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | BUTTERFIELD 早段領放 TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SINGAPORE SLING SR/XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 11 | 56.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | DARK DREAM B/TT H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 2 | 85.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | CHEFANO CP M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 12 | 23.0 | 13 |
| — | 4 | TIME WARP K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EXULTANT | 46.4% | 2.16 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | SAVVY NINE | 13.1% | 7.61 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | FURORE | 10.6% | 9.47 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 4.7% | 21.09 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | CHEFANO | 4.3% | 23.01 | 12 |
| 6 | 11 | BUTTERFIELD | 4.2% | 24.01 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 4.0% | 24.84 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | HO HO KHAN | 3.9% | 25.78 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 3.5% | 28.44 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | SUPER OASIS | 2.6% | 38.79 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | SINGAPORE SLING | 1.5% | 66.94 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | DARK DREAM | 1.2% | 85.21 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 43
PLACE
1 14.5
3 16.5
5 19.5
QUINELLA
1,3 92
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 35.5
1,5 44
3,5 50.5
FORECAST
3,1 203
TIERCE
3,1,5 1,023
TRIO
1,3,5 147
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 116
QUARTET
3,1,5,2 3,078
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/1,4 50
4/3 303.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 —
B1 18
B3 —
B2 —