Happy Valley · 2020-11-25
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR Closed strongly TT 1.40.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 2.1 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION Closed strongly B J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 12 | 15.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BABY STORM Closed strongly H/P/TT A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 1 | 6.7 | N |
| 4 | 0 | SACRED TIMING Closed strongly B H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 5 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BRAVERY AND POWER Closed strongly TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 10 | 32.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WONDER BRAHMA Closed strongly H M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 8 | 9.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE H Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 11 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS Led early V-/B2/TT C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 35.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER B-/V1 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 7 | 15.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | TELECOM MISSILE V C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 11.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-25 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VIRTUS STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with GREEN GENERATION second and BABY STORM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TELECOM MISSILE | 22.9% | 4.37 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | VIRTUS STAR | 21.1% | 4.74 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION | 16.3% | 6.12 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 8.7% | 11.45 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | BABY STORM | 8.0% | 12.46 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 4.8% | 20.93 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | WONDER BRAHMA | 4.4% | 22.88 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 3.8% | 26.42 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER | 3.1% | 31.78 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 2.8% | 35.61 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 2.2% | 44.65 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | SACRED TIMING | 1.8% | 56.49 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 21
PLACE
4 20
5 11.5
9 35.5
QUINELLA
5,9 135.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 29.5
4,9 129
5,9 57.5
FORECAST
5,9 252
TIERCE
5,9,4 1,031
TRIO
4,5,9 237
FIRST 4
4,5,7,9 1,285
QUARTET
5,9,4,7 20,048
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16
A3 —