Happy Valley · 2020-11-25
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B 1.40.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | PLAY WISE Closed strongly B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 2 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | NUNCHUKS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SPEED FORCE XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 69.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly CP-/TT A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 7 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR TT T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 5 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 49.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA Closed strongly K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT1 V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 6 | 9.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER Led early SR/TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 8 | 33.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-25 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. TOTAL POWER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with PLAY WISE second and FAITHFUL TRINITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite PLAY WISE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NUNCHUKS | 22.2% | 4.50 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | PLAY WISE | 20.0% | 5.01 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 17.7% | 5.66 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 9.2% | 10.92 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 7.0% | 14.22 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 5.0% | 20.18 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 4.4% | 22.89 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 4.2% | 23.94 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 3.9% | 25.72 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 3.7% | 27.36 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | PRETTY BAUHINIA | 2.9% | 34.48 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 45
PLACE
1 17.5
3 31
4 14.5
QUINELLA
1,4 93
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 89.5
1,4 36
3,4 64.5
FORECAST
1,4 188
TIERCE
1,4,3 1,510
TRIO
1,3,4 246
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 188
QUARTET
1,4,3,7 4,539
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 124.5
5/4 12
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —