Happy Valley · 2020-11-25
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS 0.56.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 6.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 4.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | MEGA HEART XB/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 101.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | LARSON CP/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 8 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL UNION CP V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B1/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 9 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | UGLY WARRIOR H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MULTIMILLION B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 1 | 2.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR H/CP1/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 118.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 6 | 31.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-11-25 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. EXPLOSIVE WITNESS, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with HONG KONG WIN second and MEGA HEART third. The 2.2 favourite CLASSIC UNICORN finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN | 21.0% | 4.76 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 19.1% | 5.23 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 13.4% | 7.47 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 8.9% | 11.29 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | MULTIMILLION | 8.2% | 12.15 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | LARSON | 7.7% | 12.92 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | UGLY WARRIOR | 5.7% | 17.42 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 4.5% | 22.36 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | JOYFUL UNION | 4.5% | 22.44 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | NORTHERN SUPERSTAR | 3.6% | 27.46 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | MEGA HEART | 3.3% | 30.02 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 67.5
PLACE
1 17
4 19.5
6 154.5
QUINELLA
1,4 161.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 50
1,6 568.5
4,6 973.5
FORECAST
4,1 253
TIERCE
4,1,6 15,726
TRIO
1,4,6 3,733
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 2,901
QUARTET
4,1,6,5 66,642
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 28
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
8/1 21.5
8/4 279