Happy Valley · 2020-12-23
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT 1.38.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 2.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Led early B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B C Soumillon · Y S Tsui | C Soumillon | Y S Tsui | 6 | 6.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 5 | 96.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | METHANE Closed strongly A Hamelin · D E Ferraris | A Hamelin | D E Ferraris | 11 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RED MAJESTY CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 111.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED TO EXCEED Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 20.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE H A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 7 | 3.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN Closed strongly B C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 12 | 46.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPERBELLA CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 35.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 8 | 27.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KIRAM B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 10 | 79.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-23 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. INCANTO PREPARED, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 3-1/4, with MORE THAN ENOUGH second and GLORIOUS LOVER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 36.4% | 2.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 20.9% | 4.79 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 10.5% | 9.56 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | METHANE | 6.6% | 15.12 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 6.0% | 16.71 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 5.9% | 16.95 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY ICHIBAN | 4.4% | 22.65 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 2.7% | 36.71 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED TO EXCEED | 2.3% | 42.88 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 2.1% | 46.85 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 1.1% | 88.89 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | KIRAM | 1.0% | 99.63 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 24.5
PLACE
2 18.5
4 12
6 23
QUINELLA
4,6 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 27
2,6 85
4,6 40.5
FORECAST
4,6 204
TIERCE
4,6,2 741
TRIO
2,4,6 146
FIRST 4
2,4,6,12 2,090
QUARTET
4,6,2,12 19,367
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 110
1/6 101.5
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A2 —
A3 —