Happy Valley · 2020-12-23
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT 1.08.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 4.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | WILL POWER XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 1 | 7.7 | N |
| 4 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN B- J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 8.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 6 | 7.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | GUNNISON H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 75.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | MEGA HEART XB/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 51.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | JOYFUL UNION CP V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 12 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | LARSON CP/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SHINING GEM CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 7 | 33.0 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-23 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with WILL POWER second and CLASSIC UNICORN third. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WILL POWER | 33.6% | 2.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HONG KONG WIN | 13.9% | 7.21 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | EXPLOSIVE WITNESS | 10.9% | 9.17 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 7.0% | 14.34 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 6.5% | 15.47 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN DASH | 5.7% | 17.66 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 5.5% | 18.04 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 5.1% | 19.48 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | LARSON | 4.2% | 23.84 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | JOYFUL UNION | 4.2% | 23.99 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | MEGA HEART | 2.7% | 36.83 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | GUNNISON | 0.8% | 130.50 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 45.5
PLACE
1 26
5 27
12 19
QUINELLA
1,12 178.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 104.5
1,12 79.5
5,12 65.5
FORECAST
12,1 387
TIERCE
12,1,5 2,654
TRIO
1,5,12 400
FIRST 4
1,2,5,12 1,141
QUARTET
12,1,5,2 22,581
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,12/1,5,12 357,077
8TH DOUBLE
10/1 52
10/12 206.5
SIX UP
1/4/3/1/10/12 67,357
1,11/3,4/3,7/1,5/10,12/1,12 7,866
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1/10/1 546
1/10/12 2,730