Happy Valley · 2020-12-23
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REEL BIZZY Wire to wire B 1.39.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 8.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 5 | 31.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | EASY GO EASY WIN XB-/V/TT2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 185.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NABOO STAR V/TT C Soumillon · C Fownes | C Soumillon | C Fownes | 1 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 68.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 2 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 10 | 5.4 | 3 |
| — | 0 | PRINCE OF BON BON B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | RICH AND LUCKY J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-23 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. REEL BIZZY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with NOBLE STEED second and EASY GO EASY WIN third. The winner led throughout. The 2.6 favourite NABOO STAR finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 16.8% | 5.95 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 15.2% | 6.60 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | REEL BIZZY | 13.6% | 7.38 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 13.4% | 7.49 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 11.3% | 8.82 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 10.8% | 9.24 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 10.3% | 9.74 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 5.0% | 19.81 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 2.9% | 34.70 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | BLAZING BEAT | 0.8% | 129.80 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 88
PLACE
1 21
2 25.5
5 63
QUINELLA
1,5 1,223
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 135
1,5 224.5
2,5 367.5
FORECAST
1,5 3,187
TIERCE
1,5,2 19,539
TRIO
1,2,5 2,701
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 2,344
QUARTET
1,5,2,10 67,887
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/1,2,5 646,442
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 32
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 398.5
3/5 260.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,10/3,4,7/Any Combination 1,042