Sha Tin · 2021-02-28
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-28 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HIGHLY PROACTIVE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT second and BEAUTY SMILE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite THE CROWN finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE Wire to wire H/P/TT 1.21.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 9.4 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 21.0 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY SMILE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly E2/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | THE CROWN Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 2.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNING METHOD Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 4.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY RUSH E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 3 | 49.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | PERPETUUM TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 4 | 141.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | THE CROWN | 40.0% | 2.50 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY SMILE | 16.1% | 6.20 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 8.9% | 11.28 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 8.5% | 11.77 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | BEAUTY RUSH | 8.5% | 11.78 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 8.2% | 12.23 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | WINNING METHOD | 7.5% | 13.40 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | TEAM SPIRIT | 2.0% | 50.49 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | PERPETUUM | 0.4% | 253.57 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 94
PLACE
1 14
3 40
9 29.5
QUINELLA
3,9 843.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 93
1,9 67.5
3,9 187.5
FORECAST
9,3 1,830
TIERCE
9,3,1 6,900
TRIO
1,3,9 722
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 1,439
QUARTET
9,3,1,8 44,038
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/3 357.5
8/9 768.5
3 PICK 1
A2 23
A1 —
A3 —