Sha Tin · 2021-02-28
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.22.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 2 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | EL JEFE Closed strongly XB/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC Led early TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 14 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS CP/XB T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL V- R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 1 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | STRATHMARTINE K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 84.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | CIGAR BUDDIES CP-/H- V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GRAND POWER H H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 196.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 4 | 22.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | FORMULA EXCEL M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 13 | 68.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FAST N' LIVELY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-28 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ZONE D, ridden by B Shinn and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with STUNNING IMPACT second and EL JEFE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite FORTUNE MASTER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 21.7% | 4.60 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC | 15.9% | 6.30 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | ZONE D | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PARTY GENIUS | 9.0% | 11.08 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 6.7% | 14.96 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 6.6% | 15.09 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL | 6.4% | 15.59 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | EL JEFE | 5.1% | 19.62 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 4.3% | 23.34 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | PEARL CHAMPION | 4.1% | 24.43 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | FORMULA EXCEL | 3.4% | 29.25 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 3.1% | 32.62 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | STRATHMARTINE | 1.5% | 67.04 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 0.4% | 256.45 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 53.5
PLACE
1 28
4 22.5
13 20.5
QUINELLA
4,13 194.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 85.5
1,13 98
4,13 73.5
FORECAST
4,13 382
TIERCE
4,13,1 2,012
TRIO
1,4,13 528
FIRST 4
1,4,6,13 1,655
QUARTET
4,13,1,6 30,515
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/1,4,13 37,332
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 25
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/4 673
9/13 125.5