Sha Tin · 2021-02-28
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2021-02-28 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. VINCY, ridden by T Piccone and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-3/4, with LOOKING GREAT second and CALIFORNIA TEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite CHARITY FUN finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | VINCY Closed strongly XB-/SR1/TT 1.46.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 9 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | LOOKING GREAT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | ABOVE B J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 6 | 4.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | AWE Closed strongly XB M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | WORLD FAMOUS Led early B/XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | ARROGANT B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CHARITY FUN TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 2.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 8 | 69.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 1 | 9.1 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | LONDON HALL B R Maia · D J Hall | R Maia | D J Hall | 7 | 38.0 | 20-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ABOVE | 23.5% | 4.26 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | CHARITY FUN | 19.7% | 5.08 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | LOOKING GREAT | 8.1% | 12.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY | 7.6% | 13.10 | 10 |
| 5 | 10 | AWE | 7.2% | 13.90 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | WORLD FAMOUS | 7.1% | 14.15 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 7.0% | 14.25 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | VINCY | 6.4% | 15.60 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | ARROGANT | 6.4% | 15.65 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | LONDON HALL | 4.1% | 24.14 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 2.9% | 34.85 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 246
PLACE
1 61.5
7 59.5
9 44.5
QUINELLA
7,9 1,369.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 543.5
1,9 370
7,9 362
FORECAST
7,9 2,805
TIERCE
7,9,1 37,064
TRIO
1,7,9 6,804
FIRST 4
1,7,8,9 5,879
QUARTET
7,9,1,8 168,057
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,7/1,7,9 1,420,981
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 46
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/7 1,745
4/9 170