沙田 · 2021-02-28
第 4場
2021-02-28沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、J Size訓練的ZONE D勝出，贏出1-1/4。STUNNING IMPACT獲得亞軍；EL JEFE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.7倍大熱門FORTUNE MASTER跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ZONE D 後段發力 H/P/TT 1.22.13 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 2 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 CP C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | EL JEFE 後段發力 XB/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MY ECSTATIC 早段領放 TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | FORTUNE MASTER J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 14 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | PARTY GENIUS CP/XB T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | ALL JOYFUL V- R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 1 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | TELECOM ROCKET B A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | STRATHMARTINE K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 84.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | CIGAR BUDDIES CP-/H- V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | GRAND POWER H H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 196.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | PEARL CHAMPION B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 4 | 22.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FORMULA EXCEL M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 13 | 68.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FAST N' LIVELY M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FORTUNE MASTER | 21.7% | 4.60 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | MY ECSTATIC | 15.9% | 6.30 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | ZONE D | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | PARTY GENIUS | 9.0% | 11.08 | 7 |
| 5 | 14 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 6.7% | 14.96 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | STUNNING IMPACT | 6.6% | 15.09 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | ALL JOYFUL | 6.4% | 15.59 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | EL JEFE | 5.1% | 19.62 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | TELECOM ROCKET | 4.3% | 23.34 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | PEARL CHAMPION | 4.1% | 24.43 | 13 |
| 11 | 5 | FORMULA EXCEL | 3.4% | 29.25 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | CIGAR BUDDIES | 3.1% | 32.62 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | STRATHMARTINE | 1.5% | 67.04 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | GRAND POWER | 0.4% | 256.45 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 53.5
PLACE
1 28
4 22.5
13 20.5
QUINELLA
4,13 194.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 85.5
1,13 98
4,13 73.5
FORECAST
4,13 382
TIERCE
4,13,1 2,012
TRIO
1,4,13 528
FIRST 4
1,4,6,13 1,655
QUARTET
4,13,1,6 30,515
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/1,4,13 37,332
3 PICK 1
A1 25
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/4 673
9/13 125.5