沙田 · 2021-02-28
第 10場
2021-02-28沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的SILVER EXPRESS勝出，贏出2-1/4。UNCLE STEVE獲得亞軍；PURE LEGEND獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SILVER EXPRESS 一路領先 B1 1.21.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 1.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | UNCLE STEVE 後段發力 SR/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | PURE LEGEND 後段發力 V M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 86.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | STAR PERFORMANCE 後段發力 TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 3 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | KASI FARASI 後段發力 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 12 | 104.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | NEW FUTURE 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 11 | 8.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE B/TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 6 | 127.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SACRED IBIS 後段發力 XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 14 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | KYRUS UNICORN SR-/B1 T Piccone · C W Chang | T Piccone | C W Chang | 8 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | NOBLE STEED B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | XIANG YIN TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 13 | 20.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | UNIVERSAL HERO H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 283.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SILVER EXPRESS | 35.5% | 2.82 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO | 9.4% | 10.63 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | UNCLE STEVE | 8.5% | 11.75 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | NEW FUTURE | 6.9% | 14.55 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | NOBLE STEED | 6.7% | 15.03 | 12 |
| 6 | 5 | KYRUS UNICORN | 6.3% | 15.90 | 11 |
| 7 | 13 | PURE LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.49 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | XIANG YIN | 5.7% | 17.56 | 13 |
| 9 | 7 | SACRED IBIS | 4.1% | 24.28 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 3.5% | 28.57 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | KASI FARASI | 2.8% | 36.23 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE | 2.4% | 42.14 | 9 |
| 13 | 8 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.0% | 49.26 | 4 |
| 14 | 12 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 0.6% | 174.12 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 19.5
PLACE
2 11.5
3 19
13 42.5
QUINELLA
2,3 70
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 30.5
2,13 70.5
3,13 165
FORECAST
2,3 102
TIERCE
2,3,13 995
TRIO
2,3,13 380
FIRST 4
2,3,8,13 2,810
QUARTET
2,3,13,8 18,412
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,13,14/2,3,13 241,254
9TH DOUBLE
14/2 64.5
14/3 59
SIX UP
2/4/7/12/14/2 901,878
2,8/2,4/7,9/9,12/3,14/2,3 17,585
7 [A Hamelin] —
TREBLE
12/14/2 128
12/14/3 155