沙田 · 2021-02-28
第 1場
2021-02-28沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的IRON KING勝出，贏出2-1/4。REGENCY POET獲得亞軍；ONE STEP AHEAD獲得季軍。頭馬以6.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | IRON KING H/TT2 1.09.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | REGENCY POET B/TT1 A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 7 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD B/TT V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | TIGER GLARE H K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 38.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | WHO'S HORSE B/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 2 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | THE ABRAXAS V-/B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 7.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | ALLOY KING B1 C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 8 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | THE FULL BLOOM V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 9.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | ALLOY STAR B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | SPICY GRILL H/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 14 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | MONEYMORE B-/V1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 7.8 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 1 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 1 | ANONYMA J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 13 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | CHARITYDREAM CP/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 9 | 112.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | IRON KING | 16.5% | 6.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | ANONYMA | 15.8% | 6.33 | 13 |
| 3 | 6 | SPICY GRILL | 11.1% | 9.05 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | REGENCY POET | 8.6% | 11.58 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | MONEYMORE | 7.9% | 12.68 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 6.3% | 15.86 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | WHO'S HORSE | 5.9% | 16.85 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | ALLOY STAR | 5.7% | 17.65 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 5.2% | 19.20 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | THE FULL BLOOM | 5.0% | 20.09 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | ALLOY KING | 4.2% | 23.96 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | THE ABRAXAS | 3.4% | 29.60 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | CHARITYDREAM | 2.2% | 44.61 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | TIGER GLARE | 2.2% | 45.44 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 61.5
PLACE
3 31.5
4 26.5
12 63.5
QUINELLA
3,4 353
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 132
3,12 366.5
4,12 262
FORECAST
4,3 767
TIERCE
4,3,12 7,905
TRIO
3,4,12 1,852
FIRST 4
3,4,9,12 22,646
QUARTET
4,3,12,9 397,197
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 30.5