沙田 · 2021-02-28
第 9場
2021-02-28沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C S Shum訓練的WINNER METHOD勝出，贏出1-1/4。VALIANT DREAM獲得亞軍；LUCKY QUALITY獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | WINNER METHOD TT 0.55.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | VALIANT DREAM Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | LUCKY QUALITY M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 12 | 126.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | JOYFUL FORTUNE TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 13 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO XB- A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 14 | 84.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | TRILLION WIN C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 8 | 4.9 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | FIGHTING STAR XB1/TT1 C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 9 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | BLOTTING PAPER B H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 11 | 213.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | PRINCE OF GEMS TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | CHEERFUL LEADER B/XB H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 5 | 96.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER AXIOM XB/H1/TT1 M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 4 | 9.8 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | LARSON B/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 3 | 23.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | SPEEDY MOUSE M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 137.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | WINNER METHOD | 35.6% | 2.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | JOYFUL FORTUNE | 16.6% | 6.03 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | TRILLION WIN | 13.6% | 7.37 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | VALIANT DREAM | 9.0% | 11.08 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 6.4% | 15.51 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER AXIOM | 4.0% | 24.98 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | PRINCE OF GEMS | 3.6% | 27.76 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 2.9% | 34.63 | 14 |
| 9 | 5 | FIGHTING STAR | 2.7% | 36.92 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | LUCKY QUALITY | 1.6% | 62.58 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 1.4% | 72.19 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | LARSON | 1.1% | 93.56 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 0.8% | 119.85 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | BLOTTING PAPER | 0.7% | 137.88 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 30
PLACE
3 22.5
13 203
14 15
QUINELLA
3,14 122.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,13 994.5
3,14 48.5
13,14 554.5
FORECAST
14,3 213
TIERCE
14,3,13 9,955
TRIO
3,13,14 3,264
FIRST 4
3,7,13,14 3,020
QUARTET
14,3,13,7 72,858
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 18
8TH DOUBLE
12/3 29.5
12/14 76