沙田 · 2021-02-28
第 5場
2021-02-28沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C W Chang訓練的SIMPLY SPECTACULAR勝出，贏出SH。COPARTNER AMBITION獲得亞軍；VOYAGE STAR獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門BEAUTY CHEERS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR H 1.09.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 12 | 23.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | COPARTNER AMBITION TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 8.4 | SH |
| 3 | 14 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 3 | 8.8 | SH |
| 4 | 1 | ENCHANTING START H-/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | BEAUTY CHEERS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | FIRE BALL TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | XPONENTIAL CP T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 14 | 74.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | FREE FOAL M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | THE ANOMALY M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 37.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | JUNGLE BLAZE TT1 M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 205.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | JUDY'S STAR B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | E BROTHER A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 62.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | GALLANT CAVALIER B1 R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 176.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 6 | URBAN DANCER XB/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 6 | 77.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 17.0% | 5.87 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | ENCHANTING START | 15.8% | 6.32 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | SIMPLY SPECTACULAR | 9.5% | 10.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | FIRE BALL | 9.3% | 10.72 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | JUDY'S STAR | 7.5% | 13.41 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | THE ANOMALY | 7.4% | 13.48 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | FREE FOAL | 6.7% | 14.87 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | JUNGLE BLAZE | 5.5% | 18.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | GALLANT CAVALIER | 5.5% | 18.28 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | VOYAGE STAR | 4.8% | 20.92 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | E BROTHER | 4.0% | 24.84 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 2.8% | 35.56 | 2 |
| 13 | 6 | URBAN DANCER | 2.2% | 45.84 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | XPONENTIAL | 1.9% | 53.61 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 232
PLACE
2 59.5
8 24
14 24.5
QUINELLA
2,8 1,058
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 280.5
2,14 235.5
8,14 99.5
FORECAST
2,8 1,926
TIERCE
2,8,14 20,011
TRIO
2,8,14 2,786
FIRST 4
1,2,8,14 4,516
QUARTET
2,8,14,1 138,501
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 48.5
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 1,388.5
4/8 120.5