沙田 · 2021-02-28
第 6場
2021-02-28沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的ALL FOR ST PAUL'S勝出，贏出1。BRIGHT KID獲得亞軍；ULTRA EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.2倍大熱門GREEN ENVY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 一路領先 B 1.34.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | BRIGHT KID 後段發力 B/XB Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | ULTRA EXPRESS 後段發力 TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | GREEN ENVY V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 3.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EVER LAUGH B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | TOYCOON 後段發力 H-/XB- R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 14 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | WINNING STEED B/H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 7.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | PRECISION DREAM H M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 223.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | NOBLE MAN B/E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 33.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | LEGION OF MERIT B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 1 | 121.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | HAPPY WIN WIN 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 13 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | EL VALIENTE B C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 3 | REGENCY MASTER TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 11 | 29.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | AION CP1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 12 | 221.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GREEN ENVY | 31.5% | 3.18 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 11.6% | 8.65 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | WINNING STEED | 11.2% | 8.92 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 7.6% | 13.11 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | BRIGHT KID | 6.9% | 14.52 | 2 |
| 6 | 13 | NOBLE MAN | 6.2% | 16.18 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 5.9% | 17.04 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | REGENCY MASTER | 5.5% | 18.13 | 13 |
| 9 | 5 | EVER LAUGH | 4.8% | 20.79 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | EL VALIENTE | 4.6% | 21.54 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | TOYCOON | 2.8% | 35.58 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | LEGION OF MERIT | 0.7% | 138.40 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | AION | 0.4% | 276.74 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | PRECISION DREAM | 0.3% | 306.54 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 64
PLACE
2 35
4 25
7 17
QUINELLA
2,4 335
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 120.5
2,7 120
4,7 59.5
FORECAST
4,2 844
TIERCE
4,2,7 4,456
TRIO
2,4,7 678
FIRST 4
2,4,7,12 491
QUARTET
4,2,7,12 15,384
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22.5
5TH DOUBLE
2/2 390.5
2/4 1,799.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,13/2,8,14/Any Combination 135,749