沙田 · 2021-02-28
第 2場
2021-02-28沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的SUMMIT CHEERS勝出，贏出SH。GOKO獲得亞軍；SUPER COMMANDER獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門AMAZING ROCKY跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUMMIT CHEERS 0.56.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 5.9 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | GOKO B/XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 14 | 18.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 10 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | BELLA BABY XB/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 9 | 9.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | SEVEN HEAVENS V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | SHOWINA CP1 M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 4 | 59.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | AMAZING ROCKY H Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 13 | 4.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | NOBLE DESIRE V/XB J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 11 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | FULL SAILING H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 256.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FARIBAULT M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 20.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 14 | DRAGON IN FIELD H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 7 | 208.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 5 | CORDYCEPS TWO K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 15.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | MULTIMORE B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 117.0 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 31.2% | 3.20 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | AMAZING ROCKY | 18.4% | 5.42 | 7 |
| 3 | 13 | NOBLE DESIRE | 12.9% | 7.78 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 6.3% | 15.82 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | BELLA BABY | 6.3% | 15.88 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SHOWINA | 5.4% | 18.68 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | GOKO | 4.7% | 21.45 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 4.7% | 21.50 | 1 |
| 9 | 6 | FARIBAULT | 3.5% | 28.82 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 3.0% | 33.29 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | SUPER COMMANDER | 1.4% | 72.04 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | MULTIMORE | 1.0% | 98.81 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | DRAGON IN FIELD | 0.7% | 136.22 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | FULL SAILING | 0.6% | 168.07 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 59
PLACE
3 91.5
8 20.5
10 51.5
QUINELLA
8,10 665.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 412.5
3,10 888
8,10 190
FORECAST
8,10 1,324
TIERCE
8,10,3 28,689
TRIO
3,8,10 7,109
FIRST 4
3,8,10,12 9,124
QUARTET
8,10,3,12 178,303
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/8 489.5
4/10 233.5
3 PICK 1
A3 25
A2 —
A1 —