沙田 · 2021-02-28
第 8場
2021-02-28沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的FANTASTIC WAY勝出，贏出1。DUBLIN STAR獲得亞軍；KEEP YOU WARM獲得季軍。頭馬以1.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FANTASTIC WAY 1.09.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 1.8 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | DUBLIN STAR B A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 6 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | KEEP YOU WARM B/XB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 1 | 7.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | KAI XIN DRAGON H1/TT1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | WAR OF COURAGE B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 44.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | LET'S DO IT C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 3 | 141.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | LOYAL BABY M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 95.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | WINE AND WINE B-/TT R Maia · T P Yung | R Maia | T P Yung | 4 | 84.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 11 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | GREEN REIGN M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | EXCEED THE STARS XB-/B H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 2 | 229.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | MIGHTY VALOR Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 5.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | PASSING FASHION H1 H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 12 | 226.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 1 | ROYAL AGILITY H1/TT1 T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 14 | 185.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FANTASTIC WAY | 60.1% | 1.66 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | MIGHTY VALOR | 10.3% | 9.71 | 12 |
| 3 | 10 | KEEP YOU WARM | 8.8% | 11.42 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | DUBLIN STAR | 5.3% | 19.00 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | BIG FORTUNE | 4.4% | 22.58 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | WAR OF COURAGE | 2.7% | 37.22 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | GREEN REIGN | 2.3% | 44.43 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 2.0% | 51.04 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.2% | 83.98 | 14 |
| 10 | 7 | LOYAL BABY | 0.8% | 118.13 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | LET'S DO IT | 0.7% | 142.50 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | PASSING FASHION | 0.6% | 180.41 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | EXCEED THE STARS | 0.5% | 205.16 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | WINE AND WINE | 0.4% | 231.33 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 18
PLACE
9 20.5
10 18
12 13
QUINELLA
9,12 75.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 59
9,12 32.5
10,12 26
FORECAST
12,9 136
TIERCE
12,9,10 361
TRIO
9,10,12 110
FIRST 4
2,9,10,12 679
QUARTET
12,9,10,2 5,722
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 18
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/9 463.5
7/12 549.5