Sha Tin · 2021-09-26
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-26 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN BOLT, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with SUNNY DELIGHT second and HANG'S DECISION third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite SUNNY DELIGHT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOLDEN BOLT Wire to wire SR/XB 1.21.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 12 | 5.9 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 5 | 3.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | HANG'S DECISION Closed strongly B H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 3 | 27.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly H-/B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 14.0 | N |
| 5 | 12 | LITTLE PLAYER Closed strongly CP- M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 43.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | UNICORNBABY B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 1 | 7.9 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | GREEN ENVY V/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | GREAT KING Closed strongly SR/TT B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 7 | 56.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | DRAGON BABY TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | FORTUNE MASTER B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | LOYAL BABY K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 8.3 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOLDEN BOLT | 20.3% | 4.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 19.6% | 5.11 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | LOYAL BABY | 10.1% | 9.92 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | GREEN ENVY | 9.1% | 11.01 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | SUN OF MAKFI | 8.7% | 11.45 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | DRAGON BABY | 7.3% | 13.68 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | UNICORNBABY | 7.2% | 13.96 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | FORTUNE MASTER | 7.0% | 14.20 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | DARCI JOY | 4.3% | 23.41 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | LITTLE PLAYER | 3.9% | 25.61 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | GREAT KING | 1.6% | 63.01 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.0% | 100.44 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 59
PLACE
2 29
8 16
10 17.5
11 22
QUINELLA
8,10 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 80.5
2,10 119
2,11 229
8,10 39.5
8,11 41.5
10,11 49
FORECAST
10,8 184
TIERCE
10,8,2 2,298
10,8,11 1,464
TRIO
2,8,10 476
8,10,11 298
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 2,418
QUARTET
10,8,2,11 23,132
10,8,11,2 19,204
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
11/8 471
11/10 2,659.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20
A2 —