Sha Tin · 2021-09-26
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2021-09-26 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MASTER HERO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with UNCLE STEVE second and BEAUTY LEGACY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite UNCLE STEVE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT 1.21.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 4.7 | N |
| 2 | 5 | UNCLE STEVE Closed strongly CP/SR/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly E/TT B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 3 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CRAIG'S STAR Closed strongly B V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 11 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 6.6 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | MOERAKI B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 7 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly B1 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 1 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON Led early L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 6.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | GOLFMAN STAR CP/H M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 20.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | ABLE REIGN B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 130.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 13 | 80.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | APACHE PASS A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 65.0 | 33-1/2 |
| — | 3 | HEZA BEAUTY E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 17.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MALDIVES | 23.4% | 4.27 | 5 |
| 2 | 14 | MASTER HERO | 15.8% | 6.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | UNCLE STEVE | 15.0% | 6.68 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON | 8.7% | 11.50 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | CRAIG'S STAR | 7.7% | 12.92 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 6.9% | 14.42 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | MOERAKI | 6.0% | 16.57 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 4.9% | 20.57 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 4.6% | 21.71 | 7 |
| 10 | 13 | GOLFMAN STAR | 2.7% | 36.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 1.8% | 54.24 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | APACHE PASS | 1.2% | 80.59 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | ABLE REIGN | 1.2% | 83.32 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 47.5
PLACE
2 40.5
5 16.5
14 20
QUINELLA
5,14 101.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 126.5
2,14 105
5,14 38
FORECAST
14,5 154
TIERCE
14,5,2 2,405
TRIO
2,5,14 526
FIRST 4
1,2,5,14 2,855
QUARTET
14,5,2,1 32,522
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 22
8TH DOUBLE
5/5 12
5/14 71.5