Happy Valley · 2021-10-20
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT 1.39.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | OFF THE REEL Closed strongly E-/XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE B2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR/TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 3 | 7.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 9.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MANY GAINS TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 1 | 42.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Led early B H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 68.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA B2/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 14.0 | 22-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER KIN TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 4.0 | 27 |
| 12 | 0 | BOND A STAR TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 43.0 | 30-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-20 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VIVA POPCORN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with OFF THE REEL second and SHANGHAI GRACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 22.2% | 4.50 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER KIN | 14.9% | 6.73 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 11.8% | 8.49 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 9.9% | 10.05 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | OFF THE REEL | 9.9% | 10.11 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 7.2% | 13.87 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SUN SUN FA FA | 6.5% | 15.38 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 6.2% | 16.12 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 4.4% | 22.92 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 2.5% | 39.53 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | MANY GAINS | 2.3% | 43.19 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | BOND A STAR | 2.2% | 46.13 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 40.5
PLACE
1 22.5
2 18.5
10 32
QUINELLA
1,2 146.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 54.5
1,10 92
2,10 81.5
FORECAST
2,1 323
TIERCE
2,1,10 1,876
TRIO
1,2,10 396
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 747
QUARTET
2,1,10,3 13,329
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/1 68.5
8/2 213.5
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —