Happy Valley · 2021-10-20
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL Closed strongly B 1.39.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 5 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL BABY Closed strongly C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 11 | 47.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RED MAJESTY B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | STAY CHILL CP M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN XB M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART FOLKS A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 8 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 9 | 8.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ORIENTAL AMIGO B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 32.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 12 | 19.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 85.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HERE WE GO Led early H-/V1/TT1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 187.0 | 21-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ALL JOYFUL, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with LOYAL BABY second and RED MAJESTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite RED MAJESTY finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 33.7% | 2.97 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL JOYFUL | 17.4% | 5.75 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 8.7% | 11.50 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | STAY CHILL | 8.0% | 12.54 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 7.7% | 13.06 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 6.7% | 15.02 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL YOU KNOW | 4.4% | 22.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 3.6% | 28.05 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 3.6% | 28.07 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 3.5% | 28.76 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | ALEE KING PRAWN | 2.2% | 44.71 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | HERE WE GO | 0.7% | 145.85 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 41
PLACE
1 94
2 13
7 16.5
QUINELLA
1,7 879
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 170.5
1,7 222
2,7 25.5
FORECAST
7,1 1,901
TIERCE
7,1,2 7,925
TRIO
1,2,7 751
FIRST 4
1,2,7,10 1,274
QUARTET
7,1,2,10 50,145
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,7/1,2,7 14,704
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 298.5
6/7 179.5